Clear evidence. Clear limitations. Better pursuit decisions.
Recompete Radar combines public procurement data with rule-based indicators to help you decide what deserves more research. A signal is a starting point for investigation, not a guarantee that a tender will be issued or won.
What comes from a published record
Depending on publication, records may include the buyer, contract title, award value, supplier, dates, identifiers and procurement notices. Blank information may mean that the source has not published it.
Our core UK collection draws on the official Find a Tender notice service. Spend and international coverage depend on independently published sources, with varying availability and refresh dates.
What Radar estimates
Priority, timing, incumbent pressure, challenger opening and Pursuit Fit are decision-support indicators based on available fields, rules and user profile choices. They are not externally validated forecasts or likelihoods of winning.
Example: a 70/100 challenger-opening score does not mean there is a 70% chance the incumbent loses.
What our evidence measures mean
Weighted points are awarded for a title (8), buyer (14), supplier (14), published value (10), start date (8), end date (12), category code (10) and region (5), plus up to 12 points for prior procurements and up to 7 for historical suppliers. This is a field-coverage measure, not a verification score.
High means at least three previous procurements and two historical suppliers. Medium means at least two previous procurements or two historical suppliers without meeting High. Low means neither condition is met. Historical depth cannot establish accuracy by itself.
A proxy starts from a neutral baseline and adjusts based on repeated procurements, supplier concentration and multiple current suppliers. Challenger opening is the inverse of that proxy. These are heuristic screening aids, not independently validated supplier-strength measurements.
What we can't tell from the data alone
- Whether a future contract will actually be tendered, extended, cancelled or awarded via a particular framework.
- Whether an incumbent is performing well, unless supported by specific published performance evidence.
- The exact financial value or timing of an unpublished future procurement.
- Whether a customer will win or whether a contract is commercially viable for that customer.
- Complete market coverage: some publishers do not expose data consistently and source availability can change.
For decisions involving significant time or money, confirm the latest information with the contracting authority and original notices.
How we improve reliability
We monitor import outcomes, distinguish unavailable sources from failed imports, and update the UK data feed on a schedule. Published records can change. If a source is missing or stale, that limitation must be considered when interpreting the output.
If you spot incorrect information, send the original notice URL and a description to support@recompeteradar.co.uk.